A clear presentation of the differences between skepticism and denialism.
http://theness.com/neurologicablog/index.php/denier-vs-skeptic/
I
thought that the following interaction within the comments section was
worthy of presentation. The person challenging the author, Steven
Novella, is a noted proponent of pseudoscience, Michael Ignor, a
neurosurgeon. http://rationalwiki.org/wiki/Michael_Egnor Actually, the comments of others as Ingor continued to present invalid argument are worth reading also.
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# michaelegnor on 28 Sep 2015 at 10:35 am
Steven:
Were the people who doubted the anti-DDT hysteria of the 1960′s deniers or skeptics?
How about the people who challenged Malthusian apocalyptic scenarios in the Paul Ehrlich’s ‘Population Bomb’?
How about the people who doubted the premises of eugenics?
No
matter whether you call them skpetics or deniers, the people who
doubted the scientific consensus that ‘the world is ending if you don’t
immediately do as we say and ban pesticides/sterilize everyone/sterilize
the unfit etc. seem to have been right.
Why is the AGW debate conducted in an historical vacuum?
# Steven Novella on 28 Sep 2015 at 10:42 am
Michael
– I know those are talking points of yours as you have raised them
several times in the comments here. I honestly suggest you read my
article again and really take in what I am saying.
First – there is a continuum, not a dichotomy.
I
also gave an outline of how to evaluate a consensus. Not all scientific
consensuses are equivalent. Sometimes the media creates the impression
of a consensus where there isn’t one. Sometimes a small group of
scientists are unopposed because no one else has yet paid much
attention. Sometimes people adhere too strongly to the precautionary
principle – which is not really a difference of opinion about the
science but how to react to the science. You are also confusing politics
with science in some of your examples.
In
none of your examples do you have a robust scientific consensus
anything like what we have today for AGW. The problem is not a
historical vacuum. Your examples are all just terrible.
# michaelegnor on 28 Sep 2015 at 11:18 am
Steven:
The
consensus for eugenics was quite robust–there were very few deniers,
and deniers in the scientific community were even less common.
The
Malthusian consensus was quite robust as well, and generally remains
so. Paul Ehrlich is a highly respected member of the NAS, and John
Holdren has been Obama’s science advisor for 7 years. They are both
Malthusians, and Malthusianism has a very strong presence in the warmist
scientific community today.
Ironically,
there is probably no publicly debated theory in the biological sciences
in modern times that has been more completely refuted than
Malthusianism.
DDT
and pesticide hysteria was not the scientific consensus until the early
70′s– the EPA originally overrode the NAS’ denialism when it banned DDT
in 1972.
Every
50 years or so the scientific community creates an apocalyptic
scenario–overpopulation, eugenics, pesticides, global warming– and the
refrain is always the same–’Do as we scientists say and save the world’.
Scientific
apocalpyses are more than academic squabbles. They are very deadly, and
have cost tems of millions of lives since Malthus.
Scientists
never seem to accept responsiblity for the junk science and
catastrophes they cause. There has never been any sort of genuine
accounting for Malthusiansim or eugenics or pesticide hysteria. History
just goes down the memory hole, and it’s on to the next scientific
apocalypse.
Ocean acidification is going to be next crisis, when AGW runs its course.
A
real skeptic would be pointing out the historical parallels and taking
the current iteration of scientific apocalyptism to task.
# Steven Novella on 28 Sep 2015 at 1:26 pm
Michael
– I don’t see the historical parallels. Your examples are terrible. I
don’t agree that there was a robust consensus for eugenics, which wasn’t
really ever a scientific ideas as much as a social/political idea. The
same for Malthusian philosophy – which remains genuinely controversial.
There are multiple schools of thought about the relationship between
population and resources.
Same
with pesticides. Show me the robust scientific consensus regarding the
dangers of pesticides. Generally the scientific community is the one
saying to remain calm in the face of reassuring evidence. It is the
anti-science lot who are screaming about toxins.
Further,
every warning that there may be hidden dangers to a new technology is
not “apocalyptic.” There is a legitimate degree of concern that is often
appropriate.
I
think that skeptics collectively do a good job of following the best
evidence and coming to a reasonable conclusion that is often somewhere
between hysteria and denial. Technological advance often does prove the
dire Malthusians wrong, but that does not mean that resources are
infinite or that we don’t have to think about sustainability going
forward.
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