Showing posts with label Science. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Science. Show all posts

Friday, January 17, 2025

Biden Reminded Us What We Have Lost

"In his final address to the nation last night, President Joe Biden issued a warning that 'an oligarchy is taking shape in America of extreme wealth, power, and influence that literally threatens our entire democracy, our basic rights and freedoms, and a fair shot for everyone to get ahead.'

"It is not exactly news that there is dramatic economic inequality in the United States. Economists call the period from 1933 to 1981 the 'Great Compression,' for it marked a time when business regulation, progressive taxation, strong unions, and a basic social safety net compressed both wealth and income levels in the United States. Every income group in the U.S. improved its economic standing.

"That period ended in 1981, when the U.S. entered a period economists have dubbed the 'Great Divergence.' Between 1981 and 2021, deregulation, tax cuts for the wealthy and corporations, the offshoring of manufacturing, and the weakening of unions moved $50 trillion from the bottom 90% of Americans to the top 1%.

"Biden tried to address this growing inequality by bringing back manufacturing, fostering competition, increasing oversight of business, and shoring up the safety net by getting Congress to pass a law—the Inflation Reduction Act—that enabled Medicare to negotiate drug prices for seniors with the pharmaceutical industry, capping insulin at $35 for seniors, for example. His policies worked, primarily by creating full employment which enabled those at the bottom of the economy to move to higher-paying jobs. During Biden’s term, the gap between the 90th income percentile and the 10th income percentile fell by 25%.

"But Donald Trump convinced voters hurt by the inflation that stalked the country after the coronavirus pandemic shutdown that he would bring prices down and protect ordinary Americans from the Democratic 'elite' that he said didn’t care about them. Then, as soon as he was elected, he turned for advice and support to one of the richest men in the world, Elon Musk, who had invested more than $250 million in Trump’s campaign."

Click on the link below for :


Can We Defeat Terrorism?

"Can we truly defeat terrorism or does the ideology always endure? Philip Mudd, a former CIA and FBI official, has spent his career working on counterterrorism efforts. He talks about the public perception of terrorism and the oversimplification of motives by the media, the distinction between eliminating a terror group’s leadership and combating its ideology, and extremism in the US military. Plus, how experts like him analyze attacks in real-time."

Click on the link below for a podcast presenting the details:


Thursday, January 16, 2025

Cloud Seeding: Is It A Positive?




by Brian Dunning
January 14, 2025

Humans have been trying to make it rain for millennia. We seem to always need more water, mostly to irrigate our crops, whether we are 21st century people building a highly technological dam or people 5,000 years ago doing a rain dance. Some 75 years ago, a researcher at General Electric discovered that he could use dry ice to seed supercooled water droplets and cause them to precipitate out of the atmosphere as rain. And ever since then, people have debated whether this is science or just another rain dance.

Certainly many have taken it for undisputed science. In preparation for the 2008 Olympics in China, the Beijing Weather Modification Office engaged in large-scale cloud seeding efforts, hoping to divert any possible rain during the Olympic Games opening ceremonies to fall elsewhere. Beginning four hours before the opening ceremony, from 21 locations they fired 1,100 small rockets loaded with silver iodide crystals into the clouds. The opening ceremonies ended up being mostly dry, and many hailed the cloud seeding as a great success.

In early 2024, the United Arab Emirates, which has long practiced cloud seeding to maximize the rain their dry country receives, was deluged with intense rainfall that fell across the entire Persian Gulf region. About 50 people were killed in flooding throughout the Gulf states. Unlike the praise that followed China's effort, it was angry blame that was broadly leveled against the UAE for causing the catastrophic floods.

These examples — plus countless others — would seem to be evidence that cloud seeding is effective at producing rain when and where it's needed; perhaps even too much of it. Yet the practice does not enjoy universal acceptance among atmospheric scientists. Some say it can increase the amount of rain by 30%; some say perhaps 1% at most. Results are virtually impossible to measure since rainfall amounts are never precisely predictable, and whenever we try a specific cloud seeding experiment, it's not possible to have a control for that experiment — once you seed a cloud, you can't compare the results to what you would have gotten if you hadn't seeded it.

Click on this link for more.

Wednesday, January 15, 2025

The Worst States For The Environment?

"10 States That'll Make Mother Nature Cry - Discover which US states are causing the most environmental damage through pollution, deforestation, and poor conservation practices. 

"From Arkansas's water pollution to Indiana's coal-powered problems, we're exposing the harsh reality of environmental negligence across America. Watch as we countdown the worst environmental offenders, featuring shocking facts about toxic rivers, air pollution, and failed recycling programs. Did you know a river in Ohio actually caught fire? Or that Texas's massive oil industry is creating 'choking hazards' air quality problems? These aren't just environmental issues - they're affecting real people's lives every day. 

States covered: 
• Arkansas: The "Natural State" with unnatural problems 
• Illinois: Where rivers turn green (and not just on St. Patrick's Day) 
• Kentucky: Home of coal mining disasters 
• Tennessee: Where environmental regulations take a back seat 
• Texas: Big state, bigger pollution problems 
• West Virginia: Mountains aren't the only thing being removed 
• Ohio: Rivers that used to catch fire 
• Alabama: Environmental nightmare central 
• Louisiana: Where the bayous meet toxic waste 
• Indiana: The surprising #1 worst offender"

Click on the link below for the video:

Trash States: Where the Environment Goes to Die

Tuesday, January 14, 2025

Geniuses Are Different (And That's Not Bad)

"In this thought-provoking video, we dive into the philosophy of Arthur Schopenhauer and explore why smart people often don’t care about being social. Schopenhauer, known for his pessimistic worldview, argued that solitude is not only necessary for deep thought but also a form of liberation from the superficiality of social interactions. We’ll break down his ideas about human nature, the burden of social expectations, and why intelligent individuals often prefer the peace and introspection of their own company. If you’ve ever felt out of place in social situations or wondered why some people seem indifferent to socializing, this video is for you. Join us as we discuss how Schopenhauer’s insights can help us better understand the nature of social interaction and personal fulfillment."

Click on the link below for the video:

Why Smart People Don't Care About Being Social | Schopenhauer

 

Monday, January 13, 2025

Tariffs, Populism, And Economic Nationalism

"Skeptoid's wheelhouse is science vs. pseudoscience, so some of you might be asking why are we talking about an issue of political policy? We're not. We're talking about a question rooted in science: economics. Economics is very much a science, though there's always debate on whether it's a hard science or a soft science. It's generally considered a soft science, because it studies human behavior and societal interactions, which are harder to quantify and control compared to, for example, chemistry. Some argue that economics should still be considered a hard science due to its heavy dependence on mathematics, including calculus, statistics, probability, game theory, differential equations, and so on. However, these remain difficult to apply; you can mathematically develop all the predictive theories you want, but they're really hard to test by observing human behavior. And so today we are going to look at some hard examples of economic nationalism having been tried in three famous recent cases. Was it a bounty for their economies, or a bust?"

Click on the link below for the details:


Sunday, January 12, 2025

Race And IQ: A False Connection That Will Not Die

This "research" is emblematic of how a minority of scientists continue to associate IQ with racial differences.

Race is a human construct, not a scientific/genetic fact. (link)

IQ tests are flawed. (link)

There is no connection between race and IQ. (link)

Saturday, January 11, 2025

Upper Cervical Chiropractic: The Worst Of The Quackery?

"Upper cervical chiropractors continue to offer an atlas adjustment to treat a variety of health problems, despite lack of credible evidence to support such treatment."

Click on this link for the details.

Thursday, January 9, 2025

Where Did Modern Science Come From?

Western philosophy originated in Ancient Greece in the 6th century BCE with the pre-Socratics. They attempted to provide rational explanations of the cosmos as a whole.[43] The philosophy following them was shaped by Socrates (469–399 BCE), Plato (427–347 BCE), and Aristotle (384–322 BCE). (link)

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Platonists and Aristotelians differ in their views on the nature of reality, the role of observation, and the ideal form of government.

Platonists believe that abstract forms are the most real and that the material world is inherently distrustful. They emphasize the ultimate reality of abstract forms. Their philosophy is abstract and utopian.

Aristotelians believe that concrete things are the most real and that the observable world is the basis of knowledge. They emphasize the tangible world and the pursuit of knowledge through observation and analysis. Their philosophy underlines the empirical, practical, and commonsensical. (Link)

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It is clear to this blogger that modern science essentially came from Aristotelian thinking.

It also is clear to this blogger that philosophers who are resistant to the full acceptance of modern science are most influenced by Platonist thinking.

Tuesday, January 7, 2025

Elon Musk Exposed

"Elon Musk repeatedly asserts, without evidence, that British Prime Minister Keir Starmer covered up the abuses of young girls by gangs comprised largely of British Pakistani men, in cases that date back to before 2010 when Starmer was head of Britain’s public prosecutions."

"Musk also calls Jess Phillips, the Labour government’s undersecretary for safeguarding and violence against women and girls, a 'rape genocide apologist' because she pushed back on calls for a national inquiry into child sexual exploitation in Oldham, a town near Manchester.

"In fact, Phillips, who has long campaigned for women’s rights, has called for a local investigation by Oldham authorities rather than the central government. Women’s rights supporters say Musk’s labeling Phillips a 'rape genocide apologist' is threatening her safety."

"Musk’s lies about the left-wing British government and his support for far-right groups are parts of an emerging pattern. Musk is also:

  • boosting the far-right party in Germany with neo-Nazi ties, known as Alternative for Germany (AfD), before elections early next month. Musk signaled his support for AfD in mid-December, writing in a post on X that 'only the AfD can save Germany.' He also penned an oped in a German newspaper recently, describing the party as the “last spark of hope” for the country. Musk is planning an online “discussion” on X with the AfD’s leader and candidate for chancellor, Alice Weidel, amplifying the party’s neo-Nazi ideology.
  • attacking the Italian judiciary for curbing Italian Prime Giorgia Meloni’s hardline anti-asylum immigration policies. Musk has met regularly with Meloni, who has called him a friend, and appeared at a youth event for Meloni’s party.
  • demanding Britain 'free Tommy Robinson,' the far-right founder of the English Defence League — an Islamophobic, nationalist group and anti-immigrant agitator whom, Musk charges, is in jail for “telling the truth.” In fact, Robinson is in jail because he was found to have defamed a teenage Syrian refugee and then defied a British court order by repeating the false claims. (Robinson has been previously jailed for assault, mortgage fraud and traveling on a false passport to the United States, where he has sought to establish ties with right-wing groups.)
  • allowing on X inflammatory lies of a kind that incited anti-immigrant riots in Britain last July, following the killing of three girls in a mass stabbing in the town of Southport. After Britain arrested more than 30 people, Musk condemned the government for what he called an attack on free speech.
  • calling Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau an 'insufferable tool' over comments Trudeau made in support of Kamala Harris, and predicted he “won’t be in power for much longer.” (Yesterday, Trudeau announced he will resign.)"

Where Musk is getting this power

As the richest person in the world, politicians everywhere now recognize his capacity to pour money into their parties and political campaigns, as he did by investing a quarter of a billion dollars to get Trump elected.

He also owns X, formerly Twitter, which (as of December 2024) has 619 million monthly active users. He has manipulated X’s algorithm to boost his own posts, which now reach 210 million.

But Musk’s real power these days comes from his proximity to and presumed influence over Donald Trump, soon to be President of the United States.

Musk has hardly left Trump’s side since the election, meaning that Musks’s opinions (amplified by his social media platform) cannot be ignored by politicians around the world who are trying to decipher Trump’s opinions.

One prominent member of Germany’s center-left Social Democratic Party is asking that Germany determine 'whether [Musk’s] repeated disrespect, defamation and interference in the election campaign were also expressed in the name of the new U.S. government.'

This combination — the richest person in the world, owner and manipulator of the biggest political messaging platform in the world, with direct influence over Trump — puts Musk in the position of being able to move other nations toward the neo-fascist right.

Why Musk is doing this

Not for money. As it is, he has far more than any human can utilize.

Partly, it’s ideological. He calls himself a 'free speech absolutist,' which puts him at odds with Europe’s and Canada’s aggressive responses to hate speech online. (Britain, Musk says, 'is turning into a police state.')

But the roots of Musk’s neo-fascism probably go deeper.

I am no psychoanalyst but I imagine that as an immigrant from South Africa, Musk is especially triggered by poor people of color moving into white nations. His father smuggled raw emeralds and had them cut in Johannesburg.

Part of his shift to the radical right also comes from Musk’s transgender child. As Musk told conservative commentator Jordan Peterson, 'I lost my son, essentially,' claiming she was 'dead, killed by the woke mind virus. I vowed to destroy the woke mind virus after that.' (Musk’s daughter, Vivian Jenna Wilson, now 20, told NBC News that Musk was an absent father who was cruel to her as a child for being queer and feminine.)

On X, Musk continuously criticizes transgender rights, including medical treatments for trans-identifying minors, and the use of pronouns if they are different from what would be used at birth. He has promoted anti-trans content and called for arresting people who provide trans care to minors. Last July, Musk said he was pulling his businesses out of California to protest a new state law that bars schools from requiring that trans kids be outed to their parents. After Musk bought X, then known as Twitter, in 2022, he rolled back the app’s protections for trans people, including a ban on using birth names (known as 'deadnames' for transgender people).

Perhaps the major reason for Musk’s recent effort to push other nations to the neo-fascist right is his newfound thirst for right-wing global politics. After effectively (at least in Musk’s mind) winning the presidency for Trump by spending more than $250 million and unleashing a maelstrom of pro-Trump and anti-Harris lies over X, he now seeks even more of an authoritarian rush.

It will not be the first time in history that someone is seduced by the thrill of unconstrained power, although it may be the first time that so much of it is concentrated in one unelected megalomaniac.

What should be done about Musk?

For the time being, particularly under Trump, there is little that we in America can do to constrain Musk except by boycotting Tesla and X. Canada. Britain, and other European nations, meanwhile, should, at the very least:
  • enact laws and regulations to prohibit non-citizens (like Musk) from financing activities that could affect their elections.
  • maintain, if not strengthen, laws and rules against hate speech, and ensure that they are applied to social media companies, such as Musk’s X.
  • refuse to contract with Musk’s Space X and its Starlink satellite division, or with Musk’s other corporations (Tesla and the Boring Company).
  • disengage from any joint ventures or technology transfers involving Musk, including xAI, his artificial intelligence company.

Monday, January 6, 2025

Crypto Is Not Currency

"Cryptocurrencies are nothing of that sort because almost none are ever used to facilitate trade – for which they are wholly unsuited because of their uncertain values. They might just be highly volatile assets. But they might best be seen as mechanisms to undermine the state."

Click on the link below for a video clarifying cryptos:


Sunday, January 5, 2025

"America First": A History

"Fareed Zakaria examines America's isolationist roots from the Founding Fathers to today. With the Republican Party's embrace of Donald Trump's "America First" policy, what shape might the world take under a second Trump presidency?"

Click on this link for a 45-minute video presenting all you need to know about the USA and its "America First" Achilles Heel.

Saturday, January 4, 2025

A Pseudoscience Triple-Header Expose'

Consumer protection from life coaches found lacking

A report from ProPublica in partnership with The Salt Lake Tribune notes Utah’s Division of Professional Licensing (DOPL) receives about one complaint per month about life coaches, but the staff can do little in response. Life coaching is unregulated across the U.S. which means no qualifications are required to be a life coach. Yet many of them claim to help with a broad range of issues including weight loss, parenting, improving sex, “emotional chaos,” anxiety, and running businesses. Utah licensers can cite life coaches who diagnose clients or develop plans to manage mental health conditions with unauthorized practice, but a records analysis shows citations and fines are seldom used and aren’t always effective. [Schreifels J. When therapists lose their licenses, some turn to the unregulated life coaching industry instead. ProPublica, June 17, 2024] The report notes:In Utah during the last decade, of the 25 people cited for unauthorized practice, four were life coaches.

One life coach in Utah was cited twice for unauthorized practice. He was fined $1,000 the second time he was cited for advertising himself as a psychotherapist after his license expired. He now runs a program training life coaches.

Another life coach was cited and fined $250 three months after he surrendered his therapy license for advertising that he performed “Lifespan Integration Therapy” and could treat trauma in his life-coaching business. DOPL cited him after it received reports he engaged in inappropriate conduct with female clients. A year later, he was cited again for continuing to advertise that he treated mental health issues.

Of at least 43 Utah mental health professionals who have surrendered their licenses, let them expire on suspension, or have had them revoked or denied since 2010, about one-third have continued to promote themselves as mental health “associates,” motivational speakers, or life coaches.

In 2022, active life coaches generated more than $4.5 billion in revenue worldwide, according to an estimate by the International Coaching Federation.

A woman sued her life coach in California in 2020, claiming the coach convinced her to sign over her home to the coach’s nonprofit organization. She got the title to her home back when the case settled.
A Connecticut life coach charged last year with stealing money from a client with a traumatic brain injury was given probation.

In January, a Nevada life coach was sentenced to a year in jail and ordered to pay back $282,980 after he admitted to spending money at casinos he was supposed to use for investments on behalf of his clients.

Therapist-turned-life-coach Jodi Hildebrandt was sentenced to prison for abusing two of her business partner’s children.

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Wellness influencers commonly oppose COVID-19 vaccines

University of Michigan researchers identified 161 “wellness influencer” accounts of individuals on Twitter (now called X) in 2019 based on their use of wellness-related words and high counts of retweets of their wellness advice. The self-descriptions in their Twitter bios included such terms as spiritual guide, tech executive, food blogger, lifestyle medical consultant, alchemist and herbalist, metabolic health coach, psychic, motivational coach, writer, and pop-culture fan. The influencers’ 3,045 posts on COVID-19 vaccines from 2020 through 2022 were compared to the 7,584 posts of a control group consisting of X accounts addressing similar topics but that don’t personify individuals or dispense wellness advice. The control group accounts included medical professionals and scientists who refrain from giving health advice on X, public health campaign initiatives, various media organizations that feature wellness segments, advocates for mental health awareness, and commentators on public health. [O’Brien G, and others. Wellness influencer responses to COVID-19 vaccines on social media: A longitudinal observational study. Journal of Medical Internet Research, Nov 27, 2024] The researchers reported:“Among wellness influencer accounts for which we could estimate vaccine stance, roughly half (48%) were identified as opposing vaccines, compared with 16% of accounts in the control group.”
“Our topic modeling approach provides further evidence that anti-establishment messaging comprises a core part of many wellness influencers’ rhetoric. These accounts invoked themes like parental rights, government overreach, and distrust of corrupt pharmaceutical companies when opposing vaccination.”
“Pro vaccination influencers, on the other hand, encouraged followers to get vaccinated and shared scientifically framed information about vaccine safety, efficacy, and its relationship with immunity. Their use of scientific framing suggests these influencers recognize the cultural authority science holds.”

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Almost all TikTok posts on weight-loss, muscle-building, and cleansing/detox found to mislead

Researchers at Boston Children’s Hospital and Harvard University analyzed the promotional features of the 233 most-viewed TikTok videos as of June 2022 in the U.S. with the hashtags #dietpills (78 videos), #preworkout (86 videos), and #detox (69 videos). [Raffoul A, and others. Diet pills and deception: A content analysis of weight-loss, muscle-building, and cleanse and detox supplements videos on TikTok. Eating Behaviors, Dec 2024] They found:93.6% of the videos did not disclose the credentials of the content providers

95.7% did not identify whether the promotion of the product was sponsored by the retailer

97% did not provide any scientific evidence to support health- and appearance-related claims

The researchers concluded:

The findings echo concerns from social media researchers and public health officials about widespread misinformation regarding nutrition, weight, and eating disorders on social media, and emphasizes the need for more research on the harms of social media posts and advertisements that promote weight-loss, muscle-building, and cleanse and detox products to vulnerable users.
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Stephen Barrett, M.D.
Consumer Advocate
7 Birchtree Circle
Chapel Hill, NC 27517


Telephone: (919) 533-6009

Friday, January 3, 2025

History Is At Least Rhyming

"In the episode we’re about to share, Sean Illing and his guest, historian Edward Watts, discuss how America today feels like ancient Rome…right before its empire collapsed."

Click on the link below for a podcast that examines the psychological and historical aspects of the present and potential future of the USA.

The Gray Area: Is America collapsing like ancient Rome? 

Thursday, January 2, 2025

Unconditional Cash Transfers: An Efficient Way To Help The Poor

"You’d probably guess that a major factor contributing to homelessness is a lack of money. Yet, very few programs provide unconditional and lump sum cash to unhoused individuals as a solution. There are a number of barriers that have impeded the broad implementation of this type of assistance, which include the lack of policymaker support and public mistrust in homeless people’s ability to manage money. Our guest this week found that direct cash transfers actually result in net societal savings over time. Jiaying Zhao is an associate professor, Canada research chair and a Sauder distinguished scholar at the University of British Columbia. She co-authored “Unconditional cash transfers reduce homelessness,” which was published recently in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences journal. Zhao, who has personally experienced housing insecurity in the past, joins WITHpod to discuss the cognitive taxes of poverty, rethinking the homogenous narrative about who homeless people are, the most surprising findings from the study, intended policy changes and more."

Click on this link for a classic episode of "Why Is This Happening: The Chris Hayes Podcast"

Tuesday, December 31, 2024

Economic Myths Debunked

Click on the link below for the 10 biggest myths about the economy presented by Robert Reich, former Secretary of Labor for Bill Clinton:

https://youtu.be/HZ3j4hHMO5E

Monday, December 30, 2024

Science Mis/Disinformation Is A Major Problem

 National Academies releases report on science misinformation

The National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine has posted a 394-page consensus study report that contains 13 main recommendations about interventions, policies, and future research. [Understanding and Addressing Misinformation About Science. National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine, The National Academies Press, 2024] Highlights of the report are provided in a four-page document
 that includes these points:

  • Misinformation about science is information that asserts or implies claims inconsistent with the weight of accepted scientific evidence at the time (reflecting both quality and quantity of evidence). Which claims are determined to be misinformation about science can evolve over time as new evidence accumulates and scientific knowledge regarding those claims advances.
  • Misinformation has greater potential for influence when it originates from authoritative sources, is amplified by powerful actors, reaches large audiences, is targeted to specific populations, or is produced in a deliberate, customized, and organized fashion.
  • There is a critical need for continuous monitoring of the current information ecosystem to track and document the origins, spread, and impact of misinformation about science across different platforms and communication spheres.
  • It has become increasingly common for journalists outside the science beat to be assigned science stories. Insufficient scientific expertise and/or training may make it more challenging for journalists to correctly interpret research and properly contextualize the findings in their reporting.
  • Some individuals and organizations have spread misinformation about science by feigning scientific expertise, thereby co-opting the relatively high trust in science.
  • While some features of social media platforms contribute to the production and spread of misinformation, there are opportunities to leverage these platforms to proactively increase the supply of high-quality science information. For example, working closely with nonprofit, non-partisan professional science societies and organizations, these platforms could prioritize and foreground evidence-based science information that is understandable to different audiences.
  • Misinformation about science can cause harm at individual, community, and societal levels. If someone is exposed to misinformation about science and develops misbeliefs, it may influence their ability to make informed decisions for themselves or their community, such as important choices about their personal health or how their community responds to a natural disaster.
  • Providing warnings about common manipulative techniques and false narratives, providing corrective information (especially when accompanied by explanatory content), and encouraging evaluative thinking (e.g., lateral reading, accuracy nudges, friction) are effective solutions to specifically prevent belief in misinformation about science and reduce the sharing of misinformation about science by individuals, although the durability of these interventions is a common challenge.
  • The impacts of misinformation and potential interventions beyond the individual level (i.e., institutional and societal levels) are understudied.
==============
Stephen Barrett, M.D.
Consumer Advocate
7 Birchtree Circle
Chapel Hill, NC 27517

Telephone: (919) 533-6009 

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Choose how you look at reality wisely. Yes, it is a binary choice.

Choose how you look at reality wisely. Yes, it is a binary choice.
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SCIENCE JUSTIFIES ITSELF

SCIENCE JUSTIFIES ITSELF
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