"Earlier, we published an article
explaining why there is no such thing as a scientific poll. In a
nutshell, because polling relies on good but sometimes inaccurate
assumptions, it is far more art than science. As we noted, "Tweaking
[voter] turnout models is more akin to refining a cake recipe than doing
a science experiment." Still, since American pollsters are good at
their jobs, polls tend to be correct more often than not."
Nate Silver's 'Chance of Winning' Election Forecasts Are Complete Nonsense
Human knowledge has progressed exponentially since the dawn of modern science. It is no longer reasonable to accept claims without sufficient objective evidence. The harm from religion, alternatives to medicine, conservatism, and all other false beliefs will be exposed on this blog by reporting the findings of science. This blog will also reinforce what should be the basics of education: History, Civics, Financial Literacy, Media Literacy, and Critical/Science Based Thinking.
Showing posts with label Polling. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Polling. Show all posts
Tuesday, November 8, 2016
Thursday, October 20, 2016
A Look At Political Polling
"Savvy politicos know that not just any poll will do. Online polls, in
which anybody can vote, are not legitimate. The reason is because they
do not accurately reflect the voting public. Imagine, for instance, a
poll on Starbucks' website asking readers if they like to drink coffee
every day. In this hypothetical poll, it would not be a surprise if
nearly 100% of respondents said "yes," even though only 64% of Americans drink coffee every day. The reason is obvious: People who are using Starbucks' website are probably coffee drinkers."
Polls Are Not Rigged, But They Also Aren't 'Scientific'
Polls Are Not Rigged, But They Also Aren't 'Scientific'
Tuesday, October 11, 2016
Watch For Unscientific Methods In Polling
"One of the keys to successful social science is to ask unbiased survey
questions*. The lack of a control group is just sloppiness. Gallup
should know better."
Gallup Poll: Great Example of How to Bias a Social Science Study
Gallup Poll: Great Example of How to Bias a Social Science Study
Sunday, August 28, 2016
Push Polling
"This is a technique called “push polling,” and it’s actually far more of
an advertising campaign than an attempt to discern the will of the
voters. Nobody would take the results of such a poll seriously."
Gallup Poll: Great Example of How to Bias a Social Science Study
Gallup Poll: Great Example of How to Bias a Social Science Study
Wednesday, May 11, 2016
Polling On Use Of Alternatives To Medicine
"This Harris poll on “alternative medicine” is so terrible it is
practically a pro-alternative medicine push poll. They do not define
their key terms, use loaded language and false dichotomies, and use
vague categories."
The biggest weakness of the poll is that it makes no attempt to define “alternative.” Does this include exercise, taking vitamins, prayer, getting a massage, or relaxation?
The biggest weakness of the poll is that it makes no attempt to define “alternative.” Does this include exercise, taking vitamins, prayer, getting a massage, or relaxation?
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