Showing posts with label Bayes Theorem. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Bayes Theorem. Show all posts

Sunday, November 15, 2020

Why A Christian God Would Be Extraordinary



The image above is of the Milky Way galaxy, our Sun's home.  It is estimated that there are two trillion (2,000,000,000,000) galaxies in the observable universe (link). There may be as many as a hundred billion (2,000,000,000) solar systems in our galaxy (link). 

There are many scientific hypotheses that support an infinite multiverse underlying our universe, thus making the God hypothesis unnecessary (link).

Underlying our classical reality of atoms and molecules is quantum mechanics (link). Within such is a reality where the laws of cause and effect break down (link).

There is no claim of communication between God and humans consistent with the known laws of nature.

There is no way to even begin to compute a prior probability of God due to a lack of objective evidence of such (link).

Conclusion: 
  • The claim for a Christian God lacks plausibility and probability, thus, it is extraordinary and requires extraordinary evidence for acceptance. There is no objective evidence for any God.

Friday, January 8, 2016

Bayes Theorem 101

"Bayesian analysis is an important concept for any scientist and skeptic to understand. It is extremely practical and is already used (whether or not it is explicitly named) in professions that need to deal with probability in a practical way, such as in medicine.

"Bayes Theorem makes explicitly clear several skeptical principles, including the need to consider predictive value, the impact of false positives, the need to consider an alternative hypothesis, and the need to put statistical significance into its proper context.

"In many ways, a Bayesian approach to knowledge is a skeptical approach."

http://theness.com/neurologicablog/index.php/what-is-bayes-theorem/

BTW, it can't be used to support claims of miracles. (link)

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Choose how you look at reality wisely. Yes, it is a binary choice.

Choose how you look at reality wisely. Yes, it is a binary choice.
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